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Douglas C Rapé's avatar

A few thoughts. Human nature wants us to discard and acquire. The acquire and discard paradigm is better. Add the new quickly and discard slowly lest you lose balance.

AI holds huge promise to for the seasoned staff and commanders to plan quickly. It remains mathematical and is less intuitive let alone a “genius for war” which remains an endeavor like no other human effort.

Anything humans can design other humans can infiltrate and disrupt or redirect. I certainly hope that all of these developments have Red Cells to continually play the Devil’s advocate. The German Enigma Codes were mathematically unbreakable. Yet, they were broken. No after action review from WWII is complete without considering that we were reading their dispatches. The one time they distributed their operational orders via other means the result was the surprise of the Battle of the Bulge, the largest and most costly battle ever fought by the US Army.

NFL football is very, very simple as opposed to war. I would like to see how AI might influence a playbook for a season and a game plan per game. Even if you can develop a play in .2 seconds the 11 players still must execute it which is exceedingly difficult if not practiced repeatedly.

Over my limited service I never witnessed a higher HQ fail to come up with a plan. Some were exceptional. Some worked, especially if the KISS rule was adhered to. Just as often I saw plans that simply could not be executed when the friction of war put its finger on the scales.

By all means, forge ahead. Do so with a sober understanding that blind enthusiasm is a double edged sword.

Dan ODonohue's avatar

Col Cukor’s inspired achievements are all the more impressive given daunting bureaucratic resistance.

There is a revealing inside story on our receptivity to change.

Did Colonel Cukor succeed because of or in spite of us?

How do we intentionally replicate such an insightful, skilled maverick and catalytic team?

The maturation of Maven within the XVIII Airborne Corps, EUCOM, and others bought us precious time in the face of a resolute threat.

We cannot squander it.

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