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Douglas C Rapé's avatar

Logistics runs a long trail from the resupply of ammunition on the FLOT all the way back to an industrial base that can

Produce and store the required assets for a long war with a peer competitor. To some extent DoD became enamored with just in time logistics so popular in civilian industry. COVID shot that full of holes.

The warehouse needs to make a comeback.

As weapons become increasingly sophisticated it takes longer to make them, longer to train people to maintain and operate them. We are talking about many months and often many years. If we compare production time and personnel training time ( not to even discuss collective training time) the time has increased ten fold. This tells even the village idiot that you need a deeper bench. The demand for expensive simulators grows greater.

Currently, in a “come as you are” war the US will be out of Schlitz very quickly. Not only are we too small, we could not replace losses or expenditures. While most human endeavors strive to be efficient, war requires effective. You can bet that the Chinese have done the math when we we run out of weapons platforms, ammunition and trained people.

Stalin made exactly these calculations vs Germany. If he needed five Soviet Divisions to destroy one German Division his math was simple. Attrition is math. After Hitler bogged down on the outskirts of Moscow his intelligence experts calculated that the Soviets would be able to put over 300 Divisions into the fight by spring. This exceeded the numbers destroyed July through December 1941. In fact the Soviets started to counterattack by Christmas and put 326 Divisions into play before spring.

If the Corps made the decision to modernize and reconstitute three MEF’s tomorrow I can not even estimate the time, cost and personnel training requirements before you could even consider collective unit training and exercises. It will be a multi year effort. Gen Berger’s damage to the Corps was significant and long term. Every day wasted to begin to rebuild and modernize is a direct threat to the very relevance of the Corps. I am not sure when we will reach rock bottom but both the Russians and Chinese are doing those calculations today. We are not.

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Coffeejoejava's avatar

The need for more and better equipment is not limited to missiles and is not limited to the US Navy. Not only does the Navy need more missiles, it needs more ships, subs, aircraft, and much more.

The Navy is having trouble recruiting. And they send ships out with 75-80% manning. The Navy needs to take a HARD look at all the shore billets. I would be willing to bet that a good 25-30% of the Navy is in shore-based commands (excluding aviation units and SEALs).

The Navy no longer has the giant repair shops where sailors learned advanceds skills ashore (motor rewind, valve rebuild, machining) having given those jobs up to civilians and contractors. So what exactly are they doing ashore? Filling a billet in one of the 223 Admirals the Navy currently has?

The have damned near an Admiral for every ship in the Fleet.

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