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Paul Van Riper's avatar

I commanded the Marine Corps Combat Development Command when it first reached full operational capabilities after the yeomen efforts of Generals Boomer, Krulak, and Wilhelm to turn General Gray’s vision into reality. It was the smoothest functioning command I ever led. The command had four generals, a three-star, a two-star, and two one-stars. The Warfighting Lab at the time was led by a colonel. Later the Warfighting Lab’s charter expanded, and it was commanded by a one-star. In summary, I was able to exercise command with four generals counting myself and had no issues in doing so.

When the 38th Commandant and future 39th Commandant split doctrine, training, and education away from MCCDC into a new Training and Education Command they destroyed the synergy that General Gray and my predecessors created . One could consider this the original sin in what I personally consider two failed commandants and the antecedents of Force Design 2030. TECOM now has five generals and MCCDC four generals. Nine generals overseeing the functions of what under a single command required four generals, five counting the larger Warfighting Lab. I wish I could say I was able to do with four generals what now takes nine generals, but the reality is the separation of doctrine, training, and education from MCCDC was pure stupidity.

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Corporal Grable's avatar

Working on improving my cutting score so I wrote this Book Report: Strategic Missteps in Before the First Shots Are Fired and Chowder II’s Opposition to Force Design 2030

Introduction

General Anthony Zinni’s Before the First Shots Are Fired: How America Can Win or Lose Off the Battlefield (2014), co-authored with Tony Koltz, provides a critical framework for understanding the strategic prerequisites for successful military operations. Drawing on Zinni’s extensive experience as a Marine Corps officer and former Commander-in-Chief of U.S. Central Command, the book emphasizes the alignment of political and military objectives, the integration of non-military instruments, and the necessity of adapting to modern warfare. However, the irony of Zinni’s involvement with Chowder II, a group of retired Marine generals opposing the Marine Corps’ Force Design 2030, reveals a disconnect between the book’s principles and their actions. This paper evaluates Chowder II’s campaign against Force Design 2030 through the lens of Zinni’s strategic lessons, highlighting critical mistakes that undermine their critique and offer lessons for future military leaders.

Summary of Before the First Shots Are Fired

Zinni’s book argues that wars are won or lost through decisions made before combat begins. Using historical examples such as Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan, Zinni identifies systemic failures in U.S. strategy, including misaligned political-military objectives, under-resourced civilian agencies, and outdated approaches to warfare. His key lessons include:

1. Political-Military Alignment: Success requires synchronized political and military goals to avoid mission creep and strategic failure.

2. Strengthening Non-Military Instruments: Agencies like the State Department and USAID must be adequately funded and structured to support military efforts.

3. Adapting to Modern Warfare: Fourth Generation Warfare—characterized by non-state actors, cyber threats, and hybrid conflicts—demands flexibility over traditional firepower.

4. Learning from History: Past failures, such as inadequate post-war planning in Iraq, must inform future strategies.

5. Defining Success Metrics: Effective strategies prioritize long-term stability over short-term tactical victories.
Zinni advocates for a “whole of government” approach, urging reforms like a professional civilian national security corps to enhance strategic coherence. The book’s clarity and historical grounding make it a valuable resource for military planners.

Chowder II and Force Design 2030

Chowder II, a group of retired Marine generals including Zinni, echoes the WWII-era “Chowder and Marching Society” that defended the Marine Corps from post-war cuts. Their current mission opposes Force Design 2030, a Marine Corps initiative under General David Berger to reorient the service toward great power competition, particularly against China. Force Design divests legacy systems like tanks and artillery to invest in anti-ship missiles, unmanned systems, and agile, expeditionary units optimized for Indo-Pacific operations. In a series of articles published in The National Interest, Chowder II argues that this shift renders the Marine Corps “irrelevant” to global contingencies, logistically unsupportable, and overly focused on a single threat. Their proposed alternative emphasizes a return to traditional capabilities, including heavy armor and larger infantry formations.

Analysis: Chowder II’s Missteps Through Zinni’s Lens

The irony of Zinni’s leadership in Chowder II lies in their disregard for the principles articulated in his own book. Below, Chowder II’s campaign is evaluated against Zinni’s five key lessons, highlighting critical strategic mistakes.

1. Failure to Align with Political-Military Objectives
Zinni’s book underscores the necessity of aligning military strategy with national political priorities. The 2018 National Defense Strategy prioritizes great power competition, particularly with China, necessitating a Marine Corps optimized for maritime and littoral operations. Chowder II’s advocacy for a tank-heavy, globally deployable force ignores this strategic pivot, reflecting a disconnect with current political guidance. Zinni’s own emphasis on alignment suggests that Chowder II’s resistance risks rendering the Marine Corps irrelevant to national priorities, a direct contradiction of his book’s guidance.

2. Neglect of Non-Military Instruments
Zinni argues that underfunded civilian agencies, such as the State Department and USAID, are critical to achieving strategic objectives. Chowder II’s critique focuses exclusively on military hardware—tanks, artillery, and infantry—without addressing the broader interagency context. This omission disregards Zinni’s call for a “whole of government” approach, leaving their vision incomplete and misaligned with the integrated strategy Zinni champions.

3. Resistance to Modern Warfare Adaptation
Zinni’s book stresses the need to adapt to Fourth Generation Warfare, characterized by dispersed, technology-driven conflicts. Force Design 2030’s emphasis on anti-ship missiles and small, expeditionary units aligns with this reality, particularly in the Indo-Pacific’s contested maritime environment. Chowder II’s insistence on reinvesting in legacy systems like tanks reflects a preference for conventional warfare models, contradicting Zinni’s advocacy for flexibility and innovation. This resistance risks preparing the Marine Corps for the last war rather than the next.

4. Ignoring Historical Lessons
Zinni’s analysis of historical failures, such as Iraq’s lack of post-war planning, emphasizes learning from past mistakes. Chowder II’s critique of Force Design’s “divest to invest” strategy fails to account for the lessons of recent conflicts, where heavy armor proved ineffective in Ukraine. By advocating a return to capabilities ill-suited for modern contingencies, Chowder II disregards Zinni’s call to apply historical insights, undermining their credibility.

5. Lack of Clear Success Metrics
Zinni’s book emphasizes defining success beyond tactical victories, focusing on long-term stability and societal outcomes. Chowder II’s articles offer vague assertions about a “more capable” Marine Corps without articulating specific metrics or a coherent alternative to Force Design. Their reliance on ad hominem attacks, such as labeling current leadership “operationally incompetent,” further violates Zinni’s principle of constructive critique, weakening morale and cohesion.

Critical Mistakes and Implications

Chowder II’s most significant error, led by Zinni, is their failure to propose a viable alternative strategy. Zinni’s book demands a forward-looking, integrated approach that adapts to emerging threats and learns from history. Instead, Chowder II offers a nostalgic vision that prioritizes outdated capabilities over strategic relevance. Their public campaign, marked by inflammatory rhetoric, risks undermining Marine Corps unity and public confidence, a direct violation of Zinni’s call for disciplined, constructive dialogue. The irony of Zinni’s involvement is profound: his book provides a blueprint for strategic success, yet his leadership in Chowder II exemplifies the very missteps he critiques.

Conclusion

Before the First Shots Are Fired offers a timeless framework for strategic planning, emphasizing alignment, adaptability, and historical awareness. Chowder II’s opposition to Force Design 2030, led by Zinni himself, fails to heed these lessons, resulting in a critique that is strategically incoherent and divisive. For Marine Corps officers at the Command and Staff College, this juxtaposition serves as a cautionary tale: even seasoned leaders can fall prey to nostalgia and lose sight of their own principles. Future leaders must prioritize strategic alignment, embrace innovation, and offer constructive solutions to ensure the Marine Corps remains relevant in an evolving global landscape.

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