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Jerry McAbee's avatar

By failing to use an integrated and disciplined combat development process to better prepare the Marine Corps for the challenges of the 21st Century, the senior leadership significantly degraded the Corps’ combined arms and global response capabilities. As a result, the Marine Corps is no longer the Nation’s global 911 force, able to quickly deploy and win across the range of military operations. Nor are the purpose-built Marine Littoral Regiments (MLR) and Stand-In Forces (SIF) relevant in the Western Pacific today or in the future.

The senior leadership could and should have done better. If the goal was to create a “sense and make sense” and anti-ship capability, it could have been better accomplished by task organizing for the mission from the Corps’ traditional toolkit of capabilities, augmented with new and better equipment as appropriate. Consider the following:

The U.S. Army is conducting live-fire tests of increment 2 of the Precision Strike Missile (PrSM). The Initial Operational Capability (IOC) is scheduled for FY 2028. This version of the ballistic PrSM has an unclassified range of 300 miles and can hit moving targets on land or at sea. Future increments are expected to increase the range to 600 miles. The Marine Corps has seven batteries of HIMARS in the active force and three batteries in the Reserves. Each battery consists of six missile launchers, for a total of 60 launchers.

And the Marines have other anti-ship options in their toolkit that are better than the ground launched subsonic, 115-mile range Naval Strike Missile (NSM).

One option is the Joint Strike Missile (JSM), which is the air-launched joint version of the NSM. The JSM can be carried in the F-35C’s internal weapons bay, which allows the aircraft to maintain its stealth capabilities. Capable of attacking both land and sea targets, the JSM has an unclassified range of 200 miles. When coupled with the combat range of the F-35C (600 miles), targets can be struck at distances approximating 800 miles. The Marines have six squadrons of F-35Cs in the active force and 2 squadrons in the reserve force. Each squadron has a Primary Aircraft Authorization of 12 aircraft, for a total of 96 aircraft.

The JSM can also be carried externally by the F-35B, which degrades some of the aircraft’s stealth capabilities. The combat range of the F-35B is 450 miles, which is 150 miles less than the F-35C. The Marines have twelve squadrons of F-35Bs in the active force, with a PAA of12 aircraft per squadron, for a total of 144 aircraft.

Another anti-ship option available to the Marines is the Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile (AGM-158 LRASM). The LRASM is designed to strike targets at significantly greater range than other older air-delivered anti-ship missiles. The exact range is classified, although the US Navy states the range is “greater than 200 nautical miles.” The LRASM can be carried by both the F-35C and F-35B but externally on both aircraft. See https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/03/the-f-35-fighter-can-now-sink-your-battleship/

Clearly, the Marine Corps has better options than the purpose-built MLR and SIF and the subsonic, short-range NSM. There is no need to continue down the current path of a largely purpose-built, regional defense force that is neither survivable nor sustainable inside contested areas. The Marines already have the HIMARS and F-35s and can task organize for an anti-ship mission if necessary. The same case can be made for a “sense and make sense” mission.

The radical restructuring and reorganization of the Marine Corps was never necessary. The planned procurement of 14 Naval Strike Missile Batteries (at the expense of 14 cannon artillery batteries) makes no sense. Aside from the operational limitations of the batteries, the Rogue fires and NMESIS systems are only in the Marine Corps inventory in limited numbers. Budget documents indicate that the 3rd MLR has only received 6 of the required 18 launchers for a full battery and the 12th MLR will not receive an initial 6 launches until FY28. Training and maintenance will be a nightmare. These systems are only in the Marine Corps. This is not the case with the HIMARS and F-35s.

It's not too late for the senior leaders to change course and do the right thing for the Marine Corps, the combatant commanders, and the Nation. Simply stated, reorganize III MEF into a traditional division, wing, and CSS structure; divest the NMESIS and NSM; and task organize for missions from a robust and resilient toolkit of MEF capabilities.

Paul Van Riper's avatar

The good Captain's observation that “ . . . the divestment of towed artillery batteries has stripped battalion commanders of responsive indirect fires, creating a mid-range gap, between 6 and 20 kilometers, where Marines lack organic strike capabilities” is another damning indictment of the 38th Commandant’s abandonment of the Combat Development Process. That process was designed to ensure such problems were identified at the outset and before implementation of an operating concept. In recent days Chowder Society II has received confirming information that the 38th Commandant deliberately walked away from that process and turned to a small cabal of retired Marines to undertake what was the primary mission of the Marine Corps Combat Development Command. Hubris is undeniable in this case and the results an institutional disaster. History will undoubtably condemn him for Force Design 2030 and the Stand-in Force, but the initial act of dereliction of duty was that he caused them to be born outside of a tried and true process.

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